NATIONAL POLITICS

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SAD’s utility factor for BJP in Delhi?

The way BJP has snapped its ties with SAD in Delhi and has chosen JD(U) and LJP instead makes two things very clear. First, utility of an alliance partner is more important than emotional quotient and second they will not buckle under the pressure of anyone on CAA. And this is reflected from the fact when the BJP parted ways from Shiv Sena in Maharashtra and SAD in Delhi. They had already dumped TDP before 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

Though the SAD and BJP are claiming that alliance was broken on the issue of CAA but the reality looks different. BJP is focusing more on Poorvanchali vote bank in Delhi. Joining JDU and LJP in Delhi will have its spillover effect in Bihar and West Bengal as well. The game plan of the BJP is apparently to use services of Nitish Kumar, Ram Vilas Paswan and Chirag Paswan to win over not so enthusiastic 45 per cent Poorvanchali voters who had voted Kejriwal last time.

Rashtriya Sikh Sangat is also working for the BJP to neutralize the impact of SAD in Delhi which has over 10 lakh Sikh votes. So the BJP snapping ties with SAD is a well thought out decision.

18 hours ago
congress-intensifies-its-poll-campaign-with-sonia-gandhi-pitching-in-delhi

Congress intensifies its poll campaign with Sonia Gandhi pitching in Delhi

The Congress that was otherwise in a dorment state in Delhi has suddenly sprung into action by planning to organise roadshow led by Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi with Manmohan Singh and Punjab CM also pitching in to campaign in Delhi Assembly polls. Interestingly Sonia Gandhi too will address couple of rallies in the city.

To understand it better actually the Congress that fared secound on five out of seven Lok Sabha seats in 2019 elections does not want to give a message that it has given walkover to either AAP or to the BJP. The way it is aggressively campaigning against the CAA, it is very important to contest Delhi elections aggressively.

The party also wants to capitalise on the confused stand of AAP on CAA while the BJP and the Congress are out in open against each other on the issue. The party will be more aggressive in the days to come and one such example being that former minister in the Delhi government Rajkumar Chauhan who had switched sides with the BJP has come back to Congress once again. The party has also asked all its Lok Sabha candidates to contest Assembly election.

Manmohan Singh and Captain Amrinder Singh will campaign in Sikh dominated constituencies of Delhi and Bhupinder Singh Hooda will be asked to focus in the outer Delhi and Jat dominated areas. Kamal Nath, Raj Babbar, Shatrughan Sinha will also campaign in Delhi. The Congress has already made Kirti Azad as the chairman campaign committee of Delhi.

The Congress feels that if any such message goes to people that Congress is not serious in Delhi, the revival dream of the party in Delhi will just remain a dream. Most of its leaders who had contested the Lok Sabha election will also contest Assembly and many other senior leaders of the party including former ministers in the Delhi government. Names of daughter Sheila Dikshit from New Delhi seat and son on Jai Prakash Agarwal to contest Delhi Assembly elections are also doing round.

 

17 Jan 2020
sad’s-utility-factor-for-bjp-in-delhi-

SAD’s utility factor for BJP in Delhi?

By IndianMandarins 18 hours ago

The way BJP has snapped its ties with SAD in Delhi and has chosen JD(U) and LJP instead makes two things very clear. First, utility of an alliance partner is more important than emotional quotient and second they will not buckle under the pressure of anyone on CAA. And this is reflected from the fact when the BJP parted ways from Shiv Sena in Maharashtra and SAD in Delhi. They had already dumped TDP before 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

Though the SAD and BJP are claiming that alliance was broken on the issue of CAA but the reality looks different. BJP is focusing more on Poorvanchali vote bank in Delhi. Joining JDU and LJP in Delhi will have its spillover effect in Bihar and West Bengal as well. The game plan of the BJP is apparently to use services of Nitish Kumar, Ram Vilas Paswan and Chirag Paswan to win over not so enthusiastic 45 per cent Poorvanchali voters who had voted Kejriwal last time.

Rashtriya Sikh Sangat is also working for the BJP to neutralize the impact of SAD in Delhi which has over 10 lakh Sikh votes. So the BJP snapping ties with SAD is a well thought out decision.

congress-intensifies-its-poll-campaign-with-sonia-gandhi-pitching-in-delhi

Congress intensifies its poll campaign with Sonia Gandhi pitching in Delhi

By IndianMandarins 17 Jan 2020

The Congress that was otherwise in a dorment state in Delhi has suddenly sprung into action by planning to organise roadshow led by Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi with Manmohan Singh and Punjab CM also pitching in to campaign in Delhi Assembly polls. Interestingly Sonia Gandhi too will address couple of rallies in the city.

To understand it better actually the Congress that fared secound on five out of seven Lok Sabha seats in 2019 elections does not want to give a message that it has given walkover to either AAP or to the BJP. The way it is aggressively campaigning against the CAA, it is very important to contest Delhi elections aggressively.

The party also wants to capitalise on the confused stand of AAP on CAA while the BJP and the Congress are out in open against each other on the issue. The party will be more aggressive in the days to come and one such example being that former minister in the Delhi government Rajkumar Chauhan who had switched sides with the BJP has come back to Congress once again. The party has also asked all its Lok Sabha candidates to contest Assembly election.

Manmohan Singh and Captain Amrinder Singh will campaign in Sikh dominated constituencies of Delhi and Bhupinder Singh Hooda will be asked to focus in the outer Delhi and Jat dominated areas. Kamal Nath, Raj Babbar, Shatrughan Sinha will also campaign in Delhi. The Congress has already made Kirti Azad as the chairman campaign committee of Delhi.

The Congress feels that if any such message goes to people that Congress is not serious in Delhi, the revival dream of the party in Delhi will just remain a dream. Most of its leaders who had contested the Lok Sabha election will also contest Assembly and many other senior leaders of the party including former ministers in the Delhi government. Names of daughter Sheila Dikshit from New Delhi seat and son on Jai Prakash Agarwal to contest Delhi Assembly elections are also doing round.

 

caa-imbrioglio:-has-crack-started-emerging-in-nda-

CAA imbrioglio: Has crack started emerging in NDA?

By IndianMandarins 14 Jan 2020


Some voices of rethink on CAA have started enamating from the ruling NDA, Bihar CM’s statement on discussing it in state Assembly after supporting in Parliament, SAD demanding Muslims to be included in it and LJP too padelling similar opinion but softly. Apparently they want to keep their Muslim voters intact as managing Hindu votes is the responsibility of the BJP for alliance largly.

Kerala has already passed a resolution against CAA in its Assembly, Nitish too wants to discuss it in the house if everyone agrees of which the BJP may and may not agree. However, this will help the BJP speak its mind to reach out to people, some feel. The most important thing that even if the bill is passed against CAA in Assembly after it was cleared by Parliament, it does not have any constitutional validity. So is it just a posturing or more?

Though the Congress and RJD claim lion share of Muslim votes in Bihar but Nitish does not want to loose out whatever he gets when he says there should be a special discussion on CAA in the Bihar Assembly. The JD (U) is baffled with the attack of the RJD and the Congress. JD (U) vice president Prashant Kishor is campaigning against it right from the day one. So something is being discussed in the party. Meanwhile Nitish was more emphatic when he said that there was “no question” or need to implement NRC in Bihar.

Prashant Kishor, tweeted: “…would like to reassure to all – CAA-NRC will not be implemented in Bihar.” Prashant Kishor posted several tweets critical of party boss and even offered his resignation from JD (U). Another ally of the BJP, the Akali Dal, wants Muslims to be included in CAA. Has Nitish become too dependent on him or Kishor following dictate of his boss?

 

modi-may-pick-marandi-for-ministerial-berth;-jvm’s-merger-into-bjp-likely

Modi may pick Marandi for ministerial berth; JVM’s merger into BJP likely

By IndianMandarins 11 Jan 2020

With a severe drubbing in Jharkhand Assembly elections, the BJP is now looking at ways and means to strengthen the party in the state. One such attempt may reflect in the ‘Ghar Wapsi’ of former Jharkhand CM Babu Lal Marandi.

Reportedly, Marandi may join the BJP anytime after Makar Sankranti that is on January 15, 2020. Marandi is still one of the most popular and strong BJP leader in the state but BJP leader Arjun Munda played key role in ensuring Marandi’s with the help of BJP’s central leadership like Rajnath Singh, M Venkaiyah Naidu and Advani. Later Marandi was forced to quit the BJP paving way for Arjun Munda as CM. Over a period of time BJP realised that it was a loss for Marandi and BJP both. In Jharkhand Assembly elections Marandi led JVM too has fared badly in the election and his resources have also tried up. It is believed that Marandi ‘Ghar Wapsi’ may kick start his revival in politics.

The BJP also wants to win over tribals in the state and a strong tribal leader like Marandi joining the BJP again will definitely benificial for both.

violence-grips-jnu-once-again;-message-not-right-for-new-india

Violence grips JNU once again; message not right for New India

By IndianMandarins 06 Jan 2020

The night after every higher educational institutions were supposed to be opened for academic activities after CAA protests forcing the government to close them, violent attacks by masked goons in the JNU campus has once again vitiated the environment in the educational institutions with Left, Right and Centre blaming each other for this incidence. But one thing is for sure that violence in universities across country are instigated by politicians.

There is a big question mark over the administration for failing to deal with this stalemate while both parties, ruling and opposition, are accusing each other of instigating students. Violent protests have gripped almost the entire country and the administration dealt with them sternly and gradually protests petered out. But now a fresh protest.

Irrespective of political blame-game it is all ruining the image of a rising ‘New India’ for which the NaMo government has put in lots of efforts to become a reality that started with his historic speech at Madison Square in the US. However, the opposition parties have nothing to lose, NaMo led BJP needs to give a rethink how to handle this impasse and save the image of the country. 

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

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RSS’ next target?

By IndianMandarins 05 Jan 2020

RSS wants to do away with the word ‘secular’ from the preamble of the Indian constitution. Some people feel that this is an attempt to make India a Hindu nation but the RSS has its own logic behind this argument. Still, a section feels that CAA, triple talaq, Ram Temple, NRC, NPR, the promise of the Uniform Civil Code and proposed population control bill is simply furthering the agenda of the RSS by the Modi government.

RSS leader J Nandkumar feels that secularism is a western concept that came into existence to fight papal dominance in governance and to get states rid of the shackles of the church that the situation does not exist in India.

The matter of world secular was discussed in the Constituent Assembly debate but was opposed by Bhim Rao Ambedkar and Krishna Swami Aiyar and it was not included in the constitution. “But Constitution was bulldozed by Indira Gandhi in 1976 to include world secular. It was done to harm Hindutva,” he added.

will-the-bjp-take-any-lesson-from-jharkhand-debacle-in-uttarakhand-

Will the BJP take any lesson from Jharkhand debacle in Uttarakhand?

By IndianMandarins 30 Dec 2019

The BJP has lost Jharkhand elections just because of unpopularity of its CM Raghubar Das in the states and infighting between the two leaders of the party. Now daggers are drawn in another BJP-ruled state Uttarakhand where chief minister and a very prominent leader are at loggerheads. The said leader has been nurturing the dream of becoming either chief minister or minister in the Modi government. State organisation is also in sambles due to infighting.

Now some recent developments have made this infighting wide open and none of them is missing a chance to corner each other. Both of them claim their proximity with the central leadership but this infighting and personal ambition is harming the party in the state for sure. BJP leadership is watching these developments very closely.

Some changes are possible not only in the central government but also in the organisation but one thing is also sure that Modi-Shah don’t work under pressure of anyone. If any BJP leader is of the view that they will come under pressure from anyone and anything, they are mistaken. Uttarakhand does not stand any chance in the Union council of minister as the state has its quota so some promotion might happen.

The other aspect of these developments are that the other group is more aggressive and the prevailing situation has allowed them a better opportunity to further their cause. Will the BJP learn a lesson from Jharkhand is a big question?

jharkhand-election-results:-takeaways-and-indian-politics-ahead

Jharkhand election results: Takeaways and Indian politics ahead

By IndianMandarins 24 Dec 2019

At the very outset of election campaigns in Jharkhand, it was assumed that BJP would not lose more than 6-7 seats and somehow would be able to manage to form the government through tactical alliances with AJSU and independents.

Political strategists Ahmed Patel, R P N Singh, Hemant Soren get all reasons to pat their back for getting over 45 seats for alliance.

Finally BJP’s dreams have shattered triggering several curious questions and takeaways from the results of Jharkhand elections as follows:-

  1. Jharkhand CM Raghubar Das lost his own seat which is a moral defeat as well. But at the same time it’s a big setback for BJP's central leadership.
  2. If Maharashtra elections bolstered the confidence of Congress strategists to make compromises for the sake of keeping BJP away from power then Jharkhand elections consolidated it.
  3. What makes more difficult to define the BJP’s defeat is that it lost its ground in a state like Jharkhand where PM Modi’s popularity graph ahead of 2019 Lok Sabha polls was highest at 75%. At the same time political analysts say that Modi's charisma would remain intact until the emergence of a leader to draw parallel. 
  4. BJP-RSS’ own Saryu Rai emerged as ‘the giant killer’ spoiling BJP’s prospects in the state. Party would have to reconsider its strategy to accommodate senior leaders of the party.
  5. Surprisingly Jharkhand elections took place in the backdrop of abrogation of Article 370, Ayodhya Verdict and CAA but the they failed to work for the BJP. CAA is being seen as people’s referendum in terms of political and electoral benefits.
  6. Further Jharkhand always had the privilege of having several official visits of PM Modi be it International Yoga Day or inaugural programs in Godda etc still it rejected the state leadership of BJP.
  7. Jharkhand results somewhere down the line indicate that law of diminishing effect has started catching up with the BJP.
  8. Probably it indicates that the process for revival of Congress and larger alliance has started which may continue. It also makes it obvious that Congress need to rework on missing-links of its functioning as it do not get micro-level feedback from the field else it could not have fielded Gaurav Ballabh, a bright young leader with bleak electoral prospects for now, against Saryu Rai in Jamshedpur seat
  9. AAP and Congress in Delhi have now got its confidence boosted with the BJP humiliated in Jharkhand and it's allies  may not take any chance to corner BJP in 2020 elections. Delhi elections may set a new course.
  10. Nitish, Naveen, Mamta, Jagan and others would start asserting and negotiating more and more with the Centre.
  11. Among Modi’s cherry-picked unknown faces in 2014 Fadanvis faded away, Khattar somehow survived and Raghubar finished finally; though he would lead the opposition in the state.
  12. Post Jharkhand elections the country may see pace in the shift of tone and tenor of television news channels and newspapers; an inevitable process which appears to have already started post Maharashtra elections. 
(By Rakesh Ranjan)

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Indianmandarins.com, an initiative of New Media Network, is a multi-media initiative for the fast and real-time dissemination of news and information related to civil services, central PSUs and other institutions that play a critical role in governance, administration, corporate governance, and public life in India. We aspire to provide our esteemed readers with news breaks and situation analysis in the above-mentioned domain of operations. Currently, we are available at www.indianmandarins.com. We are now planning to branch off into print publication and few other related business initiatives.