DELHI POLITICS

tharoor-applauds-dcp-for-responsive-steps

Tharoor applauds DCP for responsive steps

Congress MP from Thiruvananthapuram, Shashi Tharoor in his latest tweet has underlined the need for pro-active measures by the authorities to deal with the problems related to country-wide lockdown due to coronavirus outbreak. In particular, he appreciated the initiative of Eish Singhal, DCP, Delhi Police to enlist taxi, auto, Uber and Ola drivers into food and medicine delivery to minimize the gathering of people looking for essential commodities. Such measures are really the need of the hour to help the people cope with the current lockdown.

25 Mar 2020
low-pitch-and-sound-strategy-sail-aap-through

Low pitch and sound strategy sail AAP through

Winning Delhi Assembly elections remains elusive for the BJP yet again with AAP managing the second successive victory in Delhi by securing over 50% votes. But what catapulted the AAP to this victory that fared third in the recent Lok Sabha elections in Delhi is a very interesting to ponder about.

Analysts attribute this to Kejriwal’s popularity and his welfare agenda which is another perfect example how Indian voters differentiate between national and local elections. The BJP crossed 50% vote share in the Lok Sabha elections in 2014 and 2019 in Delhi, and the AAP in Assembly elections in 2015 and 2020. Similar factors helped the BJP when it lost in Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and Rajasthan in 2018 and bounced back in 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

They further say that the success rate of the BJP dwindles where there is mostly bipolar contest as vote share suggest that it is the BJP which has gained more from poor performance of Congress collapse from 9.7% in 2015 to 4.3% in 2020 vote share. The BJP managed to get its second highest vote share in 2020 in Assembly elections since 1993 and six percentage points more than the 2015 figure of 32.3%. But it is significantly less than the 56% which it got during the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP has done well in areas with unauthorised colonies which it regularised.

But most important aspect of Kejriwal’s campaign was that he did not criticize the PM strategically. He had also cautiously made a ballance and was not seen unnecessarily with Muslim extremists and very cleverly and innocently peddling soft Hinduism. He also countered aggressive posturing of the BJP by softly raising slogans of ‘Bharat Mata Ki Jai’ and ‘Vande Mataram’ with prude. But his main focus was around basic requirement of Delhites that is Bijli (electricity), Pani (water) and 'Sasti yatra' (cheap transport) and he sailed through.

Hyper-nationalism adopted by the BJP in Delhi elections proved to be counter productive and has a negative correlation to electoral success. Economic and livelihood issues are neglected by the BJP that has been a major bearing on its narrative against the party. The story is always different in Lok Sabha elections where nationalist agenda seems to be having a positive correlation.

It is not that Kejriwal alone but several other anti-BJP forces including NCP, JD(S), TMC, TRS and DMK are saying that the time for alternative politics for 2024 has come that talks about Kaam Ki Rajneeti vs Jabaan Ki Rajneeti. But role of Prashant Kishor cannot be anything less who started Kejriwal’s campaign with attacking Delhi BJP chief by Rinkiya Ke Papa jibe and suggesting top brass of the APP – Arvind Kejriwal to adopt soft Hindutva and Manish Sisodia to support Shaheen Bagh.

It was also part of the strategy to attack the BJP being faceless. There is another question that why the most acceptable face of BJP in Delhi Dr Harshvardhan was not made face of party in Delhi elections. On the other hand insiders say that Congress didn't want to get exposed but a decision to give passage to AAP against the BJP was taken the moment CAA was passed in Parliament.

There was no taker of the BJP campaign on abrogation of Article 370, Ayodhya Verdict, triple talaq however the party managed to generate some sentiment against CAA protest that helped increasing its poll percentage. Of course, a big section of youth of Delhi remained glued towards the AAP with most of the universities students in Delhi taking to street for some or the other reason. However, what will be the impact of anti-CAA movement will determine the course of Indian politics.

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

12 Feb 2020
tharoor-applauds-dcp-for-responsive-steps

Tharoor applauds DCP for responsive steps

By IndianMandarins 25 Mar 2020

Congress MP from Thiruvananthapuram, Shashi Tharoor in his latest tweet has underlined the need for pro-active measures by the authorities to deal with the problems related to country-wide lockdown due to coronavirus outbreak. In particular, he appreciated the initiative of Eish Singhal, DCP, Delhi Police to enlist taxi, auto, Uber and Ola drivers into food and medicine delivery to minimize the gathering of people looking for essential commodities. Such measures are really the need of the hour to help the people cope with the current lockdown.

low-pitch-and-sound-strategy-sail-aap-through

Low pitch and sound strategy sail AAP through

By IndianMandarins 12 Feb 2020

Winning Delhi Assembly elections remains elusive for the BJP yet again with AAP managing the second successive victory in Delhi by securing over 50% votes. But what catapulted the AAP to this victory that fared third in the recent Lok Sabha elections in Delhi is a very interesting to ponder about.

Analysts attribute this to Kejriwal’s popularity and his welfare agenda which is another perfect example how Indian voters differentiate between national and local elections. The BJP crossed 50% vote share in the Lok Sabha elections in 2014 and 2019 in Delhi, and the AAP in Assembly elections in 2015 and 2020. Similar factors helped the BJP when it lost in Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and Rajasthan in 2018 and bounced back in 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

They further say that the success rate of the BJP dwindles where there is mostly bipolar contest as vote share suggest that it is the BJP which has gained more from poor performance of Congress collapse from 9.7% in 2015 to 4.3% in 2020 vote share. The BJP managed to get its second highest vote share in 2020 in Assembly elections since 1993 and six percentage points more than the 2015 figure of 32.3%. But it is significantly less than the 56% which it got during the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The BJP has done well in areas with unauthorised colonies which it regularised.

But most important aspect of Kejriwal’s campaign was that he did not criticize the PM strategically. He had also cautiously made a ballance and was not seen unnecessarily with Muslim extremists and very cleverly and innocently peddling soft Hinduism. He also countered aggressive posturing of the BJP by softly raising slogans of ‘Bharat Mata Ki Jai’ and ‘Vande Mataram’ with prude. But his main focus was around basic requirement of Delhites that is Bijli (electricity), Pani (water) and 'Sasti yatra' (cheap transport) and he sailed through.

Hyper-nationalism adopted by the BJP in Delhi elections proved to be counter productive and has a negative correlation to electoral success. Economic and livelihood issues are neglected by the BJP that has been a major bearing on its narrative against the party. The story is always different in Lok Sabha elections where nationalist agenda seems to be having a positive correlation.

It is not that Kejriwal alone but several other anti-BJP forces including NCP, JD(S), TMC, TRS and DMK are saying that the time for alternative politics for 2024 has come that talks about Kaam Ki Rajneeti vs Jabaan Ki Rajneeti. But role of Prashant Kishor cannot be anything less who started Kejriwal’s campaign with attacking Delhi BJP chief by Rinkiya Ke Papa jibe and suggesting top brass of the APP – Arvind Kejriwal to adopt soft Hindutva and Manish Sisodia to support Shaheen Bagh.

It was also part of the strategy to attack the BJP being faceless. There is another question that why the most acceptable face of BJP in Delhi Dr Harshvardhan was not made face of party in Delhi elections. On the other hand insiders say that Congress didn't want to get exposed but a decision to give passage to AAP against the BJP was taken the moment CAA was passed in Parliament.

There was no taker of the BJP campaign on abrogation of Article 370, Ayodhya Verdict, triple talaq however the party managed to generate some sentiment against CAA protest that helped increasing its poll percentage. Of course, a big section of youth of Delhi remained glued towards the AAP with most of the universities students in Delhi taking to street for some or the other reason. However, what will be the impact of anti-CAA movement will determine the course of Indian politics.

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

aap-confident,-bjp-working-hard-and-congress-clueless-in-delhi!

AAP confident, BJP working hard and Congress clueless in Delhi!

By IndianMandarins 08 Feb 2020

The BJP has done what it needed to bring its core voters to polling booth in Delhi and will try through the day with every means to woo jhuggi voters to vote for it. It has started this with its 250 MPs staying in the night in 376 jhuggies colonies which constitute the most staunch vote bank of Aam Aadmi Party. However, AAP is confident that it will sail through with the support of its core votes and minorities while Congress leadership reportedly gave a walk over to AAP to check BJP from coming to power.

The BJP was way behind at 8 seats when the poll process started but CAA has catapulted it to 28-32 seats in its own survey but the question is being asked about invisible Congress in the hustings. It is learnt that for the strategists of the Congress, loss of the BJP is more important than winning maximum sub 10 seats in Delhi. Knowing nature of tactical voting by Muslims, AAP leaders supported Shaheen Bagh from distance but refrained from visiting the site.

But elections are not mechanically planned and 20 odd candidates of the Congress have made Delhi elections triangular contest by their own goodwill and efforts. This is what the BJP needed as only in the Muslim dominated areas you need a triangular contest and this is happening on such seats. On the other hand, the BJP has deputed maximum workers in jhuggi clusters not only convincing them to vote for BJP but bring them to polling booth. So much so that Rashtriya Muslim Manch are working as booth agents.

AAP MP Sanjay Singh accusing Giriraj Singh and the BJP for using unfair means is actually his fear as the BJP is trying to dent their core vote bank. Of course BJP and AAP both have been facing anti-incumbency. But one thing is sure that one-sided poll battle of Delhi has turned into a neck and neck fight by the BJP but the Congress still looking for an opportunity to ride piggyback to reach somewhere.

(By Vinod Shukla)

delhi-elections-and-congress’-dilemma:-workers-feel-leadership-not-serious;-bjp-feels-congress-is-for-aap

Delhi elections and Congress’ dilemma: Workers feel leadership not serious; BJP feels Congress is for AAP

By IndianMandarins 05 Feb 2020

Voting for the Delhi Assembly elections are just three-days away but not only the BJP is accusing the Congress but a section of party workers are also saying that the grand old party has not only done very little to be seen fighting election but also started very late to make the contest triangular in the state. If the BJP is accusing the Congress of indirectly supporting the AAP to defeat the BJP, then Congress workers are calling it apathy of the top Congress brass. They are worried that this will send a wrong signal in the rank and file and the Congress will vanish in Delhi.

The BJP leader ridiculed seriousness of the Congress that Senior Congress leaders Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Vadra had a public meeting at Jangpura and Sangam Vihar at 3 and 5 PM respectively but it was tweeted from the Rahul Gandhi’s twitter handle at 3.51. So the BJP is accusing the Congress is in the lap of the AAP while Congress workers disheartened.

Health condition of party president Sonia Gandhi added vows of the Congress workers and they seem to have given us as they were nowhere in the race to form the government but fighting to save the honour of the Congress in Delhi which failed to open its account in the last Assembly elections.

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

shaheen-bagh:-an-ideology,-an-opportunity-or-a-trump-card-

Shaheen Bagh: An ideology, an opportunity or a trump card?

By IndianMandarins 04 Feb 2020

In the backdrop of Delhi Assembly elections, Shaheen Bagh has turned out to be an amazing mix of what is politics all about. The very politics has not only brought 'Shaheen Bagh demonstration' to the centre-stage of Delhi elections but also made it a synonym to the Delhi elections.

It has different meaning for different aspirational groups. For some its an opportunity to revive one’s politics, for some it’s a mean to retain power, for some a platform to display one’s democratic aspirations and for some its an ideology and a trump card.

How does it respond that would be out from the EVM on February 11, 2020 only. Delhi is waiting.

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

is-pk’s-professional-advise-to-aap-a-bigger-reason-for-fall-out-from-jd(u)-

Is PK’s professional advise to AAP a bigger reason for fall out from JD(U)?

By IndianMandarins 30 Jan 2020

You can’t sink the ship you too are sailing in, this is the crux of the story of departure of Prashant Kishor from JD(U). When a political strategist speaks his mind in public instead of giving indoor suggestion to the top leadership of the party he is a formal member then there is something wrong somewhere but departure could have been respectable. At least the way Prashant Kishor has fallen out of the JD(U) gives testimony to the fact that it was more than CAA that caused his exit.

Actually his professional interests have been in clash with the JD (U), so he was looking for some way out and JD (U) too was feeling the burden of having him in the party. When Prashant Kishor started looking after pool management of AAP, the first thing that he did was suggesting AAP to attack Manoj Tiwari by calling Pinkiya ke Papa making him a political pigmy.

Amid talks between the BJP and JD(U), these things have not gone down well with the alliance which has a bigger plan with poorvanchalies with this alliance in Delhi, Bihar and West Bengal. Pawan Verma spoke for Kishor questioning JD(U) alliance with the BJP in Delhi. Actually JD(U) joining hands with BJP in Delhi will disturb his strategy for West Bengal

Prashant Kishor committed mistake once against by putting on shoes much bigger than his size. So they constantly attacked the JDU’s decision on CAA but he actually wanted his professional outreach to grow. He is likely to join Trinamool Congress soon. But his advises on poorvanchalies to AAP infuriated not only the BJP but also JDU.  

delhi-police-commissioner-gets-extension

Delhi Police Commissioner gets extension

By IndianMandarins 30 Jan 2020

A day ahead of the retirement of Delhi Police Commissioner Amulya Patnaik (IPS:1985:UT) the Election Commission, in view of Delhi Assembly poll, given its nod for a month’s extension in service of Patnaik. Patnaik was appointed the Delhi CP in January, 2017. 

The Union Home Ministry had sought permission to extend the tenure of Patnaik till February end. 

from-advantage-aap-to-neck-and-neck-with-bjp-but-congress-may-surprise

From advantage AAP to neck and neck with BJP but Congress may surprise

By IndianMandarins 29 Jan 2020

The Congress is skirting the CAA issue in Delhi, AAP tells that it is in the support protesters and the BJP is vehemently opposed to protests especially at Shaheen Bagh. But what does it mean as Delhi Assembly elections are at very crucial stage?

A glance:

  1. The BJP very tactically shifted the entire narrative of bijli muft, paani muft (free water, free electricity) to CAA debate in Delhi.
  2. The party has also fanned AAP’s overconfidence by fielding weak candidates against Arvind Kejriwal and Manish Sisodia giving a message of conceding defeat while they are working hard in constituencies to cash in on anti-incumbency of AAP MLAs.
  3. Free DTC ride has disappointed auto driver as it is impacting their earning who were their hardcore supporters
  4. Certain section of the traditional voter of the Congress is now disenchanted with AAP is also coming back to the Congress.
  5. Despite the protest at Shaheen Bagh having some link with Amanatullah Khan of AAP Muslims are relying more on the Congress for their long-term benefits
  6. Reports are coming that Muslims voters will go full hog with the Congress the way they voted during Lok Sabha elections as their belief is constantly growing that only the Congress can take a decisive stand for them.
  7. Tentative approach of AAP is harming them as Many Congress leaders reached Shaheen Bagh but AAP leaders kept a distance from the protest
  8. AAP’s Muslim leaders are feeling cheated after some tickets were denied to Muslims
  9. AAP faced maximum protest in ticket distribution and except freebies AAP government does not have anything to offer to the people of Delhi.
  10. Strong Congress is a threat to AAP in the ongoing elections that the party failed to sense so far.
  11. The BJP is trying to increase just one to two percent beyond their fixed vote bank as they feel there is no wave as such for AAP

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