MAHARASHTRA NAVNIRMAN SENA

maha-cm-job-at-stake-udhdhav-faces-constitutional-hurdle-with-limited-options

Maha CM job at stake: Udhdhav faces constitutional hurdle with limited options

There is a constitutional obligation before Uddhav Thackeray under Article 164 (4) that he would have to be a member of any of the houses of Maharashtra Assembly before May 24, 2020. Since the Election Commission of India has postponed every election, he is left with no other option but to look at the governor to be merciful on him to nominate him for Legislative Council.

What will happen if he fails to get nominated? There is one option that he resigns and takes oath as the CM once again giving himself another six months. But this is easier said than done as it would involve not only both the Shiv Sena's partners, the Congress and the NCP but give the governor more power to take a call on this.

There is a Supreme Court judgment pronounced on August 17, 2001, that had ruled such re-appointment of a minister in the Punjab government without getting elected to the Assembly as improper and undemocratic.

So what other option does he have if the governor refuses to oblige him? He can let his son Aditya Thackeray to take over but making his allies to agree on this is very difficult as they may seek some more concession that SS might not agree as it has already compromised a lot with its ideology.

There is no problem technically with any nominated member holding top posts as they are as good as any elected member. There is no bar on the governor nominating him as well.

However, till date, no CM has been nominated to the upper house under the nominated category. So much so that no one has been able to get a ministerial berth from the nomination category. His name has already been sent for nomination for the legislative council by the state cabinet. But the Maharashtra government is looking at every possible option to deal with the scenario. Thackrey had taken over reins of the state on November 28, 2019.

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

25 Apr 2020
maharashtra:-is-raj-thackeray-a-new-star-on-the-horizon-

Maharashtra: Is Raj Thackeray a new star on the horizon?

Ever since MNS chief Raj Thackeray came out of the shadow of his political mentor Bala Saheb when Udhdhav Thackeray was entrusted with the responsibility of executive president of Shiv Sena (SS), Raj has not been able to make any dent into Shiv Sena except on a few occasions however he has been able to cause strong political ripples for sure.

BJP leadership prevailed upon Raj Thackeray in 2014 even though he came out in support of Narendra Modi’s prime ministerial candidature. As long as SS was around as BJP’s ally there was no space for MNS. But in 2019 elections, MNS appeared the bitterest critique of Modi unaware of the future development. Since SS has fallen apart, there is a space for MNS among Maharashtra electorates, which is created by the SS joining hands with Congress and NCP.

The MNS had managed to win over 27 seats in BMC, 26 in Kalyan-Dombiwali Municipal Corporation and 40 in Nasik Municipal Corporation in 2014 which has gone down drastically in 2017. It had won 13 assembly seats in the 2009 but was down to one in 2014 and 2019 however it has the potential to do much better. BJP knows it well.

Speculation is rife that Raj Thackeray is inching closure to the BJP and could be the right answer to the Shiv Sena, NCP and Congress alliance. Though Raj was present at the swearing in ceremony but MNS’ lone MLA did not vote in favour of SS.

The famous saying that there is no permanent friends and foes in politics has once again come to the rescue of the situation. Few of the BJP leaders feel that had the BJP contested alone or with the MNS, the picture could be different.

In the very background has something started cooking up between the BJP and the MNS? 

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

13 Dec 2019
maha-cm-job-at-stake-udhdhav-faces-constitutional-hurdle-with-limited-options

Maha CM job at stake: Udhdhav faces constitutional hurdle with limited options

By IndianMandarins 25 Apr 2020

There is a constitutional obligation before Uddhav Thackeray under Article 164 (4) that he would have to be a member of any of the houses of Maharashtra Assembly before May 24, 2020. Since the Election Commission of India has postponed every election, he is left with no other option but to look at the governor to be merciful on him to nominate him for Legislative Council.

What will happen if he fails to get nominated? There is one option that he resigns and takes oath as the CM once again giving himself another six months. But this is easier said than done as it would involve not only both the Shiv Sena's partners, the Congress and the NCP but give the governor more power to take a call on this.

There is a Supreme Court judgment pronounced on August 17, 2001, that had ruled such re-appointment of a minister in the Punjab government without getting elected to the Assembly as improper and undemocratic.

So what other option does he have if the governor refuses to oblige him? He can let his son Aditya Thackeray to take over but making his allies to agree on this is very difficult as they may seek some more concession that SS might not agree as it has already compromised a lot with its ideology.

There is no problem technically with any nominated member holding top posts as they are as good as any elected member. There is no bar on the governor nominating him as well.

However, till date, no CM has been nominated to the upper house under the nominated category. So much so that no one has been able to get a ministerial berth from the nomination category. His name has already been sent for nomination for the legislative council by the state cabinet. But the Maharashtra government is looking at every possible option to deal with the scenario. Thackrey had taken over reins of the state on November 28, 2019.

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

maharashtra:-is-raj-thackeray-a-new-star-on-the-horizon-

Maharashtra: Is Raj Thackeray a new star on the horizon?

By IndianMandarins 13 Dec 2019

Ever since MNS chief Raj Thackeray came out of the shadow of his political mentor Bala Saheb when Udhdhav Thackeray was entrusted with the responsibility of executive president of Shiv Sena (SS), Raj has not been able to make any dent into Shiv Sena except on a few occasions however he has been able to cause strong political ripples for sure.

BJP leadership prevailed upon Raj Thackeray in 2014 even though he came out in support of Narendra Modi’s prime ministerial candidature. As long as SS was around as BJP’s ally there was no space for MNS. But in 2019 elections, MNS appeared the bitterest critique of Modi unaware of the future development. Since SS has fallen apart, there is a space for MNS among Maharashtra electorates, which is created by the SS joining hands with Congress and NCP.

The MNS had managed to win over 27 seats in BMC, 26 in Kalyan-Dombiwali Municipal Corporation and 40 in Nasik Municipal Corporation in 2014 which has gone down drastically in 2017. It had won 13 assembly seats in the 2009 but was down to one in 2014 and 2019 however it has the potential to do much better. BJP knows it well.

Speculation is rife that Raj Thackeray is inching closure to the BJP and could be the right answer to the Shiv Sena, NCP and Congress alliance. Though Raj was present at the swearing in ceremony but MNS’ lone MLA did not vote in favour of SS.

The famous saying that there is no permanent friends and foes in politics has once again come to the rescue of the situation. Few of the BJP leaders feel that had the BJP contested alone or with the MNS, the picture could be different.

In the very background has something started cooking up between the BJP and the MNS? 

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

maharashtra-crisis:-why-bjp-central-leadership-is-quiet-and-indifferent-

Maharashtra Crisis: Why BJP central leadership is quiet and indifferent?

By IndianMandarins 13 Nov 2019

Any guesses why the central leadership of the BJP is quiet and indifferent towards the political development in Maharashtra? If some political insiders are to be believed Devendra Fadnavis has apparently disturbed the game plan of the BJP in the state. Had he followed the advice of central leadership without suggesting his ideas, things would have been quite different.

Reportedly, the central leadership is unhappy with former Maharashtra CM Devendra Fadnavis for his greed that allowed more and more concessions to the Shiv Sena. Sources said that party president Amit Shah had clearly advised Fadnavis not to give more than 110 seats to the Shiv Sena (SS) in the Assembly but he managed to convince party leadership for 125 seats to SS with a promise of sweeping Maharashtra elections.

In the 2014 elections ties between the BJP-SS were snapped for similar reasons and his time round the BJP was rather better off in the state but Fadnavis did not want to take a chance for becoming CM for second time. The sources in the BJP said that the party wanted to get rid of SS for once and all and this seems to have been done with these unpleasant development. They wanted to expose them on many counts.

The BJP leadership does not only want to teach a lesson to Shiv Sena but also Fadnavis whose personal ambition has put the party in such a predicament and analysts feel that the number that the BJP managed to get in Assembly elections with alliance could have been better, had the party contested elections alone. 

with-shah-at-driving-seat,-ss-unlikely-to-get-equal-no-of-seats-in-maharashtra

With Shah at driving seat, SS unlikely to get equal no of seats in Maharashtra

By IndianMandarins 25 Sep 2019

Amid hectic parlays on seat sharing continuing in Maharashtra for Assembly polls, if BJP president Amit Shah is saying that Maharashtra elections will be referendum of Article 370 then he must be saying this for multiple audiences including its allies in the state. The message is loud and clear that the BJP is here to deliver and it will not buckle under any pressure from anyone on anything.

 

It has been communicated to Shiv Sena by the BJP that it is not ready to concede more than 120 seats to Shiv Sena albeit some fringe benefits of more ministerial births and post of deputy chief minister but term and condition will be of the BJP. During 2014, the BJP was uncertain about its performance in Maharashtra but this time round they are bulging with confidence.

 

The BJP is working on a formula in which the party and its smaller allies would claim 168 seats leaving 120 for the Shiv Sena. The BJP will give 8 to 10 Assembly seats to its smaller allies and contest on 160-158 seats on its own. Actually the BJP wants to win around 145 seats to gets simple majority of its own which they feel is very much possible in the present circumstances.

 

But Shiv Sena is insisting for the equal number of seats and also wants to swap some of the seats with the BJP but sources informed that the Shiv Sena being given equal number of seats does not appear to be working out.

(By Vinod Kumar Shukla)

congress-mns-alliance-may-prove-to-be-counterproductive-for-the-party

Congress-MNS alliance may prove to be counterproductive for the party

By IndianMandarins 14 Jul 2019

New Delhi: The Congress has appointed a new president for Maharashtra as Balasaheb Thorat who is in favour of alliance with the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) for the Assembly elections in the state along with Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) which is stronger than the Congress at the moment at least the 2019 Lok Sabha elections suggests so.

 

Such indications of Congress-MNS alliance started being talked about when MNS chief Raj Thackerey met with United Progressive Alliance chairperson Sonia Gandhi recently. Apparently the entire move is to counter the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance in the state which has decimated the Congress-NCP alliance in the state. Now, on the other hand All India Majlish-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) has told the Vanchit Bahujan Agadi (VBA) headed by Prakash Ambedkar to contest 100 Assembly seats out of 288 seats in the state.

 

This is to remind that instead of managing its own support base, the Congress attempt to steal into the vote banks of other political parties might prove to be counter-productive. Dalits and Muslims had been the core vote bank of the Congress for very long time besides a few other sections in Maharashtra but a new social engineering of Assaduddin Owaisi and Preakash Ambedkar has brought Dalits and Muslims under a new platform which helped the alliance to snatch Aurangabad Lok Sabha seat from the Shiv Sena. If they are planning to field candidates on 100 seats in Maharashtra that will have definite impact not only on the Shiv Sena-BJP alliance but will harm more to the Congress-NCP in the state.

 

Bringing MNS into the Congress-NCP alliance is a double-edged sword, if it will bring some Maratha votes to the alliance then it will drive away not only Muslim vote but north-Indians votes as well from the Congress-NCP combine and AIMIM and VBA combined are ready to take Muslims hand in hand and north Indians going to the BJP-Shiv Sena fold. These two communities are decisive in certain pockets in the state. Dalits will also be lured by Ambedkar. So the attempt of the Congress and the NCP will go in vein if the VBA accepts proposal of the AIMIM. The AIMIM was an old ally of the Congress but they had developed differences and parted ways just before 2014 Lok Sabha elections.

 

On the other hand the BJP and the Shiv Sena are working on their original plan with Shiv Sena taking the hardliner stands while the BJP talking about taking everyone along. The alliance has been able to deliver best-ever performance in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections but Assembly elections are different. They have decided much in advance that they will be contesting equal number of seats leaving others much behind in terms of polls strategy.   

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