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Jharkhand Assembly Elections: A tight rope walk for BJP's central leadership

By Indian Mandarins- 12 Dec 2019
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A survey suggests that the BJP is likely to win 45 to 48 seats in Jharkhand Assembly Elections but BJP insiders are not giving the party more than 20 seats if PM factor does not work. The previous tally of the party is 37 as against the critical number i.e. 41.  

Though K’taka came as a shy of relief for BJP but post Maharashtra it is being discussed whether Jharkhand Assembly elections would make a further dent into the image of BJP. After two phases of polls, the BJP is not counted much in the state. CM Raghubar Das himself is on weak turf with former party stalwart Saryu Rai challenging him in his den and the Congress has fielded a strong candidate.

Post Maharashtra crisis the Opposition now believes that it's not impossible to counter the BJP, if not at the Centre then definitely at states. That is why the Opposition is banking on anti-Raghubar Das wave despite the fact that PDS and other DBTs have improved remarkably under Raghubar administration. In a tactical move, Opposition is not attacking Modi as it might become counter-productive but attacking Raghubar might bear fruits.

As of now it appears that even if the BJP emerges single largest party in Jharkhand it may be difficult for Raghubar to win. Further, Any less number of seats for the BJP in Jharkhand will be a moral loss if Raghubar loses his seat.

In that case, it would be difficult for BJP central leadership to answer as it was Modi who had once cherry picked Raghubar as the CM. In 2014, Fadanvis, Khattar and Raghubar were hand-picked by Modi-Shah. Khattar somehow survived, Fadanvis faded away and Raghubar's personal stake appears to have eclipsed his larger political stakes.

Put together all pros and cons one should not forget that PM Modi’s popularity percentage was maximum (75 per cent) in Jharkhand ahead of 2019 LS Polls. One should not forget that Modi has himself launched a high decibel campaign to save party’s fate and face in the state.   

(By Rakesh Ranjan)

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Indianmandarins.com, an initiative of New Media Network, is a multi-media initiative for the fast and real-time dissemination of news and information related to civil services, central PSUs and other institutions that play a critical role in governance, administration, corporate governance, and public life in India. We aspire to provide our esteemed readers with news breaks and situation analysis in the above-mentioned domain of operations. Currently, we are available at www.indianmandarins.com. We are now planning to branch off into print publication and few other related business initiatives.